Cutting through narrative to focus on signal.
I build deep-dive equity theses, macro context, and process-driven frameworks to understand how businesses create value and how markets price risk.
Selected research projects
A sample of current work. Many of these live as slide decks or PDFs; this site is a hub to organize and link them over time.
A valuation deep dive into Palantir examining revenue quality, margins vs scale, government vs commercial mix, implied growth rates, and how narrative-driven multiples compare to measurable fundamentals.
Benchmarks U.S. equities against a basket of global ETFs on P/E, P/B, dividend yield, and mega-cap concentration to test whether the current U.S. valuation premium is supported by fundamentals or driven by multiples.
Uses historical return distributions to simulate thousands of portfolio paths and estimate drawdown / upside trade-offs for different index allocations.
Research streams
Most projects fall into three buckets that talk to each other: company work, macro context, and process.
- Single-name deep dives: unit economics, competitive dynamics, and valuation versus peers.
- Macro + factor work: regimes, rates, style rotations, and sector/region spreads.
- ETF and index analysis: building simple ways to express views without stock picking.
- Methods notes: Monte Carlo setups, sanity checks, and process frameworks.
How I like to work
I start with the business and cash flows, then layer macro and sentiment on top. I care about the difference between “great companies” and “great stocks”, and I use data to pressure-test stories rather than replace judgment.
This site is a living notebook. Over time I’ll link more decks, notes, and code so you can see exactly how the conclusions were built.
Who’s behind this
My name is Mohammad, and I am a recent Tufts graduate with a dual degree in economics and sociology. I’ve worked across investment banking, consulting, and private equity, mostly around M&A, deal sourcing, and capital raising.
Outside of work, this research hub is how I keep sharpening my thinking about markets, valuation, and risk. If any of this resonates, I’d love to connect.